Lewis McGrillen vs Nawras Abzakh
Prelims · Bantamweight · PFL
Lewis McGrillen
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 48%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.7
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 2.2
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 1:19 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 75/100
Recent form
Nawras Abzakh
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 32%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 1.7
- Takedown defense
- 77%
- Control time
- 5:11 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Nawras Abzakh
Confidence
59%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Nawras Abzakh is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Lewis McGrillen's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Lewis McGrillen
+205
- Market implied win %
- 32.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 41%
- Return on 100 staked
- +205
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Nawras Abzakh
-223
- Market implied win %
- 69%
- Raina's model win %
- 59%
- Return on 100 staked
- +45
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10 pts
Edge on Nawras Abzakh
- Raina's model
- 59%
- Market implied
- 69%
- at -223
- Gap (model − market)
- -10 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Nawras Abzakh higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Abzakh by KO/TKO+13842%
- Abzakh by decision+17136.9%
- McGrillen by submission+28126.2%
- Fight goes the distance-5334.6%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Lewis McGrillen vs Nawras Abzakh
Prelims · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Nawras Abzakh
59%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-223
69% implied · -10 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.