Oleg Popov vs Pouya Rahmani
Main Card · Heavyweight · PFL
Oleg Popov
Record unlisted
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.1
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 2.5
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 1:11 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 56/100
Recent form
Pouya Rahmani
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 31%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 81%
- Control time
- 0:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 81/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Oleg Popov
Confidence
54%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Oleg Popov is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Pouya Rahmani's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 54%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Oleg Popov
-188
- Market implied win %
- 65.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 54%
- Return on 100 staked
- +53
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Pouya Rahmani
+175
- Market implied win %
- 36.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 46%
- Return on 100 staked
- +175
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.3 pts
Edge on Oleg Popov
- Raina's model
- 54%
- Market implied
- 65.3%
- at -188
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.3 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Oleg Popov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Popov by KO/TKO+29125.6%
- Popov by decision+23829.6%
- Rahmani by submission+57114.9%
- Fight goes the distance+20632.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Oleg Popov vs Pouya Rahmani
Main Card · Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Oleg Popov
54%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-188
65.3% implied · -11.3 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.