Brandon Brachet vs Adam Meskini
Main Card · Bantamweight · PFL
Brandon Brachet
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 35%
- Sub rate
- 18%
- Decision rate
- 47%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 67%
- Control time
- 3:50 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Adam Meskini
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 33%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.1
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 3
- Takedown defense
- 67%
- Control time
- 5:37 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 81/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Adam Meskini
Confidence
71%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Adam Meskini is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Brandon Brachet's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 71%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Brandon Brachet
+276
- Market implied win %
- 26.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 29%
- Return on 100 staked
- +276
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Adam Meskini
-307
- Market implied win %
- 75.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 71%
- Return on 100 staked
- +33
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-4.4 pts
Edge on Adam Meskini
- Raina's model
- 71%
- Market implied
- 75.4%
- at -307
- Gap (model − market)
- -4.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Adam Meskini higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Meskini by KO/TKO+28725.8%
- Meskini by decision+23929.5%
- Brachet by submission+24129.3%
- Fight goes the distance-1613.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Saturday, December 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Brandon Brachet vs Adam Meskini
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Adam Meskini
71%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-307
75.4% implied · -4.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.
