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← PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

Brandon Brachet vs Adam Meskini

Main Card · Bantamweight · PFL

Red cornerUnlisted

Brandon Brachet

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Bantamweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
35%
Sub rate
18%
Decision rate
47%
Sig. strikes/min
4.8
Strike accuracy
46%
Takedown avg
2.3
Takedown defense
67%
Control time
3:50 / fight
Opponent quality
73/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Adam Meskini

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Bantamweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    33%
    Sub rate
    25%
    Decision rate
    42%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.1
    Strike accuracy
    45%
    Takedown avg
    3
    Takedown defense
    67%
    Control time
    5:37 / fight
    Opponent quality
    81/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Adam Meskini

      Confidence

      71%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingBrandon Brachet +19
      GrapplingAdam Meskini +18
      WrestlingBrandon Brachet +19
      CardioBrandon Brachet +12
      ExperienceAdam Meskini +10
      Fight IQBrandon Brachet +20

      Why Raina made this pick

      Adam Meskini is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Brandon Brachet's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 71%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Brandon Brachet

      +276

      Market implied win %
      26.6%
      Raina's model win %
      29%
      Return on 100 staked
      +276

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Adam Meskini

      -307

      Market implied win %
      75.4%
      Raina's model win %
      71%
      Return on 100 staked
      +33

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -4.4 pts

      Edge on Adam Meskini

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      71%
      Market implied
      75.4%
      at -307
      Gap (model − market)
      -4.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Adam Meskini higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Meskini by KO/TKO+28725.8%
      • Meskini by decision+23929.5%
      • Brachet by submission+24129.3%
      • Fight goes the distance-1613.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      PFL · PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

      Saturday, December 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Brandon Brachet vs Adam Meskini

      Main Card · Bantamweight

      Raina's pick

      Adam Meskini

      71%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -307

      75.4% implied · -4.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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