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← PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

Dean Garnett vs Bryce Meredith

Main Card · Bantamweight · PFL

Red cornerUnlisted

Dean Garnett

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Bantamweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
27%
Sub rate
26%
Decision rate
47%
Sig. strikes/min
4.1
Strike accuracy
48%
Takedown avg
1.8
Takedown defense
70%
Control time
3:17 / fight
Opponent quality
69/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerU.S.

    Bryce Meredith

    “Misfit”

    Record unlisted

    Age
    31
    Height
    173 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Bantamweight
    Streak
    2-fight win streak
    KO rate
    37%
    Sub rate
    18%
    Decision rate
    45%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.9
    Strike accuracy
    44%
    Takedown avg
    1.2
    Takedown defense
    78%
    Control time
    7:31 / fight
    Opponent quality
    55/100

    Recent form

    WWLWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Bryce Meredith

      Confidence

      75%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingBryce Meredith +13
      GrapplingDean Garnett +12
      WrestlingBryce Meredith +13
      CardioDean Garnett +12
      ExperienceBryce Meredith +10
      Fight IQBryce Meredith +14

      Why Raina made this pick

      Bryce Meredith is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Dean Garnett's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 75%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Dean Garnett

      +300

      Market implied win %
      25%
      Raina's model win %
      25%
      Return on 100 staked
      +300

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Bryce Meredith

      -335

      Market implied win %
      77%
      Raina's model win %
      75%
      Return on 100 staked
      +30

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -2 pts

      Edge on Bryce Meredith

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      75%
      Market implied
      77%
      at -335
      Gap (model − market)
      -2 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Bryce Meredith higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Meredith by KO/TKO+17636.2%
      • Meredith by decision+26627.3%
      • Garnett by submission+46017.9%
      • Fight goes the distance+10149.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      PFL · PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

      Saturday, December 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Dean Garnett vs Bryce Meredith

      Main Card · Bantamweight

      Raina's pick

      Bryce Meredith

      75%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -335

      77% implied · -2 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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