Jan Ciepłowski vs Mauricio Partida
Main Card · Bantamweight · PFL
Jan Ciepłowski
“Jasiu”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 165 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 35%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 48%
- Takedown avg
- 1.5
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 2:41 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Mauricio Partida
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 29%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 1.4
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 2:07 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 70/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Mauricio Partida
Confidence
77%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Mauricio Partida is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Jan Ciepłowski's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 77%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jan Ciepłowski
+312
- Market implied win %
- 24.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 23%
- Return on 100 staked
- +312
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Mauricio Partida
-349
- Market implied win %
- 77.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 77%
- Return on 100 staked
- +29
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-0.7 pts
Edge on Mauricio Partida
- Raina's model
- 77%
- Market implied
- 77.7%
- at -349
- Gap (model − market)
- -0.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Mauricio Partida higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Partida by KO/TKO+28426%
- Partida by decision+19134.4%
- Ciepłowski by submission+53815.7%
- Fight goes the distance+4071.4%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Jan Ciepłowski vs Mauricio Partida
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Mauricio Partida
77%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-349
77.7% implied · -0.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.