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← PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

Oualy Tandia vs Alex Lohoré

Main Card · Welterweight · PFL

Red cornerUnlisted

Oualy Tandia

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Welterweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
40%
Sub rate
28%
Decision rate
32%
Sig. strikes/min
4.5
Strike accuracy
48%
Takedown avg
1.6
Takedown defense
71%
Control time
1:33 / fight
Opponent quality
71/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Alex Lohoré

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Welterweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    31%
    Sub rate
    19%
    Decision rate
    50%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.6
    Strike accuracy
    48%
    Takedown avg
    1.3
    Takedown defense
    72%
    Control time
    5:22 / fight
    Opponent quality
    77/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Alex Lohoré

      Confidence

      63%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingAlex Lohoré +13
      GrapplingOualy Tandia +12
      WrestlingOualy Tandia +19
      CardioOualy Tandia +18
      ExperienceAlex Lohoré +10
      Fight IQAlex Lohoré +14

      Why Raina made this pick

      Alex Lohoré is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Oualy Tandia's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Oualy Tandia

      +228

      Market implied win %
      30.5%
      Raina's model win %
      37%
      Return on 100 staked
      +228

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Alex Lohoré

      -251

      Market implied win %
      71.5%
      Raina's model win %
      63%
      Return on 100 staked
      +40

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.5 pts

      Edge on Alex Lohoré

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      63%
      Market implied
      71.5%
      at -251
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Alex Lohoré higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Lohoré by KO/TKO+21931.3%
      • Lohoré by decision+24029.4%
      • Tandia by submission+25728%
      • Fight goes the distance-11252.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      PFL · PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKee

      Saturday, December 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Oualy Tandia vs Alex Lohoré

      Main Card · Welterweight

      Raina's pick

      Alex Lohoré

      63%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -251

      71.5% implied · -8.5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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