Cris Cyborg vs Ketlen Vieira
Main Event · Women's Featherweight · World Title · PFL
Cris Cyborg
29-2-0
- Age
- 41
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 173 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 59%
- Sub rate
- 12%
- Decision rate
- 29%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.7
- Takedown avg
- 0.3
- Takedown defense
- 74%
- Control time
- 3:13 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 65/100
Recent form
Ketlen Vieira
“Fenômeno”
16-5-0
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Featherweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 56%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Takedown avg
- 5.2
- Takedown defense
- 74%
- Control time
- 3:09 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Ketlen Vieira
Confidence
75%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Ketlen Vieira is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Cris Cyborg's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 75%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Cris Cyborg
+300
- Market implied win %
- 25%
- Raina's model win %
- 25%
- Return on 100 staked
- +300
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Ketlen Vieira
-335
- Market implied win %
- 77%
- Raina's model win %
- 75%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2 pts
Edge on Ketlen Vieira
- Raina's model
- 75%
- Market implied
- 77%
- at -335
- Gap (model − market)
- -2 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Ketlen Vieira higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Vieira by KO/TKO+30924.4%
- Vieira by decision+18235.5%
- Cyborg by submission+36721.4%
- Fight goes the distance+8653.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
PFL · PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Cris Cyborg vs Ketlen Vieira
Main Event · Women's Featherweight
Raina's pick
Ketlen Vieira
75%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-335
77% implied · -2 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.