Dakota Bush vs Mirafzal Akhtamov
Main Card · Lightweight · PFL
Dakota Bush
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 40%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 34%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.5
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 4:42 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 66/100
Recent form
Mirafzal Akhtamov
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 34%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 36%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Takedown avg
- 1.4
- Takedown defense
- 81%
- Control time
- 5:41 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Dakota Bush
Confidence
52%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Dakota Bush is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Mirafzal Akhtamov's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 52%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Dakota Bush
-174
- Market implied win %
- 63.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 52%
- Return on 100 staked
- +57
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Mirafzal Akhtamov
+163
- Market implied win %
- 38%
- Raina's model win %
- 48%
- Return on 100 staked
- +163
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.5 pts
Edge on Dakota Bush
- Raina's model
- 52%
- Market implied
- 63.5%
- at -174
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Dakota Bush higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Bush by KO/TKO+23829.6%
- Bush by decision+13143.3%
- Akhtamov by submission+58414.6%
- Fight goes the distance+20333%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Dakota Bush vs Mirafzal Akhtamov
Main Card · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Dakota Bush
52%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-174
63.5% implied · -11.5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.