Dakota Bush vs Morquez Forest
Prelims · Lightweight · PFL
Dakota Bush
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 40%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 34%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.5
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 4:42 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 66/100
Recent form
Morquez Forest
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 51%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 2.5
- Takedown defense
- 81%
- Control time
- 6:33 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 63/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Morquez Forest
Confidence
75%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Morquez Forest is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Dakota Bush's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 75%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Dakota Bush
+300
- Market implied win %
- 25%
- Raina's model win %
- 25%
- Return on 100 staked
- +300
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Morquez Forest
-335
- Market implied win %
- 77%
- Raina's model win %
- 75%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2 pts
Edge on Morquez Forest
- Raina's model
- 75%
- Market implied
- 77%
- at -335
- Gap (model − market)
- -2 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Morquez Forest higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Forest by KO/TKO+31923.9%
- Forest by decision+27326.8%
- Bush by submission+41319.5%
- Fight goes the distance+10149.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Dakota Bush vs Morquez Forest
Prelims · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Morquez Forest
75%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-335
77% implied · -2 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.