Eoin Sheridan vs James Vake
Main Card · Welterweight · PFL
Eoin Sheridan
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 39%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Takedown avg
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 7:33 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 75/100
Recent form
James Vake
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 43%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 3:10 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 64/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
James Vake
Confidence
63%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
James Vake is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Eoin Sheridan's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Eoin Sheridan
+228
- Market implied win %
- 30.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 37%
- Return on 100 staked
- +228
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
James Vake
-251
- Market implied win %
- 71.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 63%
- Return on 100 staked
- +40
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.5 pts
Edge on James Vake
- Raina's model
- 63%
- Market implied
- 71.5%
- at -251
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates James Vake higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Vake by KO/TKO+18235.5%
- Vake by decision+20532.8%
- Sheridan by submission+48917%
- Fight goes the distance-13256.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Eoin Sheridan vs James Vake
Main Card · Welterweight
Raina's pick
James Vake
63%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-251
71.5% implied · -8.5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.