Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba
Co-Main · Lightweight · PFL
Gadzhi Rabadanov
27-5-1
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 7:19 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Jakub Kaszuba
“The Boar<br>The Auditor”
16-0-0
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 24%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 56%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4
- Takedown avg
- 3.2
- Takedown defense
- 88%
- Control time
- 6:14 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Gadzhi Rabadanov
Confidence
78%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Jakub Kaszuba's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 78%.
Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Gadzhi Rabadanov
-356
- Market implied win %
- 78.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 78%
- Return on 100 staked
- +28
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Jakub Kaszuba
+318
- Market implied win %
- 23.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 22%
- Return on 100 staked
- +318
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-0.1 pts
Edge on Gadzhi Rabadanov
- Raina's model
- 78%
- Market implied
- 78.1%
- at -356
- Gap (model − market)
- -0.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Gadzhi Rabadanov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Rabadanov by KO/TKO+30624.6%
- Rabadanov by decision+23429.9%
- Kaszuba by submission+51616.2%
- Fight goes the distance-10651.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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PFL · PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba
Co-Main · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Gadzhi Rabadanov
78%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-356
78.1% implied · -0.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.