Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Tracy Reeder
Co-Main · Lightweight · PFL
Gadzhi Rabadanov
27-5-1
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 7:19 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Tracy Reeder
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 18%
- Decision rate
- 44%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.7
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 6:06 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 79/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Gadzhi Rabadanov
Confidence
74%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Tracy Reeder's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 74%.
Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Gadzhi Rabadanov
-328
- Market implied win %
- 76.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 74%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Tracy Reeder
+294
- Market implied win %
- 25.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 26%
- Return on 100 staked
- +294
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2.6 pts
Edge on Gadzhi Rabadanov
- Raina's model
- 74%
- Market implied
- 76.6%
- at -328
- Gap (model − market)
- -2.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Gadzhi Rabadanov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Rabadanov by KO/TKO+22031.3%
- Rabadanov by decision+13442.7%
- Reeder by submission+38020.8%
- Fight goes the distance+3076.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Tracy Reeder
Co-Main · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Gadzhi Rabadanov
74%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-328
76.6% implied · -2.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.