Javid Basharat vs Movsar Ibragimov
Main Card · Bantamweight · PFL
Javid Basharat
“The Snow Leopard”
15-2-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 175 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 56%
- Decision rate
- 25%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.7
- Takedown avg
- 3.2
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 2:23 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Movsar Ibragimov
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 29%
- Sub rate
- 29%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.4
- Takedown avg
- 1.7
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 0:53 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 87/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Movsar Ibragimov
Confidence
61%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Movsar Ibragimov is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Javid Basharat's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 61%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Javid Basharat
+216
- Market implied win %
- 31.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 39%
- Return on 100 staked
- +216
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Movsar Ibragimov
-237
- Market implied win %
- 70.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 61%
- Return on 100 staked
- +42
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-9.3 pts
Edge on Movsar Ibragimov
- Raina's model
- 61%
- Market implied
- 70.3%
- at -237
- Gap (model − market)
- -9.3 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Movsar Ibragimov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Ibragimov by KO/TKO+30824.5%
- Ibragimov by decision+13342.9%
- Basharat by submission+26727.2%
- Fight goes the distance-4229.6%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Javid Basharat vs Movsar Ibragimov
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Movsar Ibragimov
61%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-237
70.3% implied · -9.3 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.