Luke Trainer vs Roland Dunlap
Main Card · Light Heavyweight · PFL
Luke Trainer
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 31%
- Sub rate
- 29%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Takedown avg
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 6:53 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 68/100
Recent form
Roland Dunlap
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 37%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Takedown avg
- 2.1
- Takedown defense
- 81%
- Control time
- 6:23 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 88/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Roland Dunlap
Confidence
69%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Roland Dunlap is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Luke Trainer's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 69%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Luke Trainer
+264
- Market implied win %
- 27.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 31%
- Return on 100 staked
- +264
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Roland Dunlap
-293
- Market implied win %
- 74.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 69%
- Return on 100 staked
- +34
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5.6 pts
Edge on Roland Dunlap
- Raina's model
- 69%
- Market implied
- 74.6%
- at -293
- Gap (model − market)
- -5.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Roland Dunlap higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Dunlap by KO/TKO+25228.4%
- Dunlap by decision+11746.1%
- Trainer by submission+38620.6%
- Fight goes the distance+9850.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
PFL · PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Luke Trainer vs Roland Dunlap
Main Card · Light Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Roland Dunlap
69%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-293
74.6% implied · -5.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.