Bo Nickal vs Max McEnelly
Main Card · Light Heavyweight · Real American Freestyle
Bo Nickal
9-1-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 40%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 3.1
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 7:20 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 57/100
Recent form
Max McEnelly
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 36%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.9
- Takedown avg
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 79%
- Control time
- 1:16 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 87/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Bo Nickal
Confidence
62%
Predicted method
Submission
Predicted round
Round 1
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Bo Nickal is the more complete grappler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Max McEnelly's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 62%.
Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Bo Nickal
-244
- Market implied win %
- 70.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 62%
- Return on 100 staked
- +41
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Max McEnelly
+222
- Market implied win %
- 31.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 38%
- Return on 100 staked
- +222
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.9 pts
Edge on Bo Nickal
- Raina's model
- 62%
- Market implied
- 70.9%
- at -244
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Bo Nickal higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Nickal by KO/TKO+27127%
- Nickal by decision+22630.7%
- McEnelly by submission+44518.3%
- Fight goes the distance-8545.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Bo Nickal vs Max McEnelly
Main Card · Light Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Bo Nickal
62%
Method / round
Submission
Round 1
Line & edge
-244
70.9% implied · -8.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.