Johnni DiJulius vs Asu Almabayev
Main Card · Featherweight · Real American Freestyle
Johnni DiJulius
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 37%
- Tech-fall rate
- 30%
- Points-decision rate
- 33%
- Takedowns / match
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Ride time
- 1:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 88/100
Recent form
Asu Almabayev
24-3-0
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 163 cm
- Reach
- 165 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 20%
- Tech-fall rate
- 42%
- Points-decision rate
- 38%
- Takedowns / match
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Ride time
- 3:34 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 60/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Johnni DiJulius
Confidence
56%
Predicted method
Decision on points
Predicted period
Full time (2 periods)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Johnni DiJulius is the more complete all-round wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.
Asu Almabayev's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a match that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Johnni DiJulius
-202
- Market implied win %
- 66.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 56%
- Return on 100 staked
- +50
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Asu Almabayev
+187
- Market implied win %
- 34.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 44%
- Return on 100 staked
- +187
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.9 pts
Edge on Johnni DiJulius
- Raina's model
- 56%
- Market implied
- 66.9%
- at -202
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Johnni DiJulius higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
periods total
Over/Under 1.5 periods
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- DiJulius by fall+19733.7%
- DiJulius on points+27826.5%
- Almabayev by technical superiority+47917.3%
- Match goes the full two periods-9649%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Johnni DiJulius vs Asu Almabayev
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Johnni DiJulius
56%
Method / round
Decision on points
Full time (2 periods)
Line & edge
-202
66.9% implied · -10.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.