Johnni DiJulius vs Asu Almabayev
Main Card · Featherweight · Real American Freestyle
Johnni DiJulius
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 37%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.7
- Takedown avg
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 1:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 88/100
Recent form
Asu Almabayev
24-3-0
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 163 cm
- Reach
- 165 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 20%
- Sub rate
- 42%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.8
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 3:34 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 60/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Johnni DiJulius
Confidence
56%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Johnni DiJulius is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Asu Almabayev's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Johnni DiJulius
-202
- Market implied win %
- 66.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 56%
- Return on 100 staked
- +50
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Asu Almabayev
+187
- Market implied win %
- 34.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 44%
- Return on 100 staked
- +187
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.9 pts
Edge on Johnni DiJulius
- Raina's model
- 56%
- Market implied
- 66.9%
- at -202
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Johnni DiJulius higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- DiJulius by KO/TKO+19733.7%
- DiJulius by decision+27826.5%
- Almabayev by submission+47917.3%
- Fight goes the distance-9649%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Johnni DiJulius vs Asu Almabayev
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Johnni DiJulius
56%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-202
66.9% implied · -10.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.