Jordan Burroughs vs Sean Brady
Co-Main · Catchweight · Real American Freestyle
Jordan Burroughs
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Catchweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 5:54 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Sean Brady
19-2-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Catchweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 23%
- Sub rate
- 23%
- Decision rate
- 54%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 3.4
- Takedown defense
- 77%
- Control time
- 7:18 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 77/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Jordan Burroughs
Confidence
70%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Jordan Burroughs is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Sean Brady's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 70%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jordan Burroughs
-300
- Market implied win %
- 75%
- Raina's model win %
- 70%
- Return on 100 staked
- +33
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Sean Brady
+270
- Market implied win %
- 27%
- Raina's model win %
- 30%
- Return on 100 staked
- +270
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5 pts
Edge on Jordan Burroughs
- Raina's model
- 70%
- Market implied
- 75%
- at -300
- Gap (model − market)
- -5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Jordan Burroughs higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Burroughs by KO/TKO+31923.9%
- Burroughs by decision+23429.9%
- Brady by submission+58814.5%
- Fight goes the distance-2318.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jordan Burroughs vs Sean Brady
Co-Main · Catchweight
Raina's pick
Jordan Burroughs
70%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-300
75% implied · -5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.