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RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2

Kennedy Blades vs Diana Avsaragova

Main Card · Women's Middleweight · World Title · Real American Freestyle

Red cornerUnlisted

Kennedy Blades

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Women's Middleweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
35%
Sub rate
29%
Decision rate
36%
Sig. strikes/min
4.5
Takedown avg
1.2
Takedown defense
79%
Control time
1:08 / fight
Opponent quality
74/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerRussia

    Diana Avsaragova

    Pantera

    6-2-0

    Age
    28
    Height
    170 cm
    Reach
    5 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Women's Middleweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    20%
    Sub rate
    31%
    Decision rate
    49%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.8
    Takedown avg
    4.3
    Takedown defense
    78%
    Control time
    2:34 / fight
    Opponent quality
    68/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Diana Avsaragova

      Confidence

      53%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingKennedy Blades +5
      GrapplingDiana Avsaragova +16
      WrestlingDiana Avsaragova +21
      CardioDiana Avsaragova +10
      ExperienceKennedy Blades +16
      Fight IQKennedy Blades +10

      Why Raina made this pick

      Diana Avsaragova is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Kennedy Blades's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 53%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Kennedy Blades

      +169

      Market implied win %
      37.2%
      Raina's model win %
      47%
      Return on 100 staked
      +169

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Diana Avsaragova

      -181

      Market implied win %
      64.4%
      Raina's model win %
      53%
      Return on 100 staked
      +55

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -11.4 pts

      Edge on Diana Avsaragova

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      53%
      Market implied
      64.4%
      at -181
      Gap (model − market)
      -11.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Diana Avsaragova higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      Rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Avsaragova by KO/TKO+16937.2%
      • Avsaragova by decision+22231.1%
      • Blades by submission+28426%
      • Fight goes the distance+3971.9%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2

      Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Kennedy Blades vs Diana Avsaragova

      Main Card · Women's Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Diana Avsaragova

      53%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -181

      64.4% implied · -11.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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