Masanosuke Ono vs Ben Davino
Main Card · Bantamweight · Real American Freestyle
Masanosuke Ono
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 39%
- Tech-fall rate
- 21%
- Points-decision rate
- 40%
- Takedowns / match
- 1.4
- Takedown defense
- 67%
- Ride time
- 7:18 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 67/100
Recent form
Ben Davino
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 36%
- Tech-fall rate
- 26%
- Points-decision rate
- 38%
- Takedowns / match
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 67%
- Ride time
- 4:49 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Ben Davino
Confidence
77%
Predicted method
Decision on points
Predicted period
Full time (2 periods)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Ben Davino is the more complete all-round wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.
Masanosuke Ono's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 77%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a match that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Masanosuke Ono
+312
- Market implied win %
- 24.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 23%
- Return on 100 staked
- +312
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Ben Davino
-349
- Market implied win %
- 77.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 77%
- Return on 100 staked
- +29
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-0.7 pts
Edge on Ben Davino
- Raina's model
- 77%
- Market implied
- 77.7%
- at -349
- Gap (model − market)
- -0.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Ben Davino higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
periods total
Over/Under 1.5 periods
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Davino by fall+20432.9%
- Davino on points+20732.6%
- Ono by technical superiority+57814.7%
- Match goes the full two periods+1785.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 12: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo 2
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Masanosuke Ono vs Ben Davino
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Ben Davino
77%
Method / round
Decision on points
Full time (2 periods)
Line & edge
-349
77.7% implied · -0.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.