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← RAF 15: Tsarukyan vs. Pettis

Danny Sabatello vs Jacob Schultz

Main Card · Lightweight · Real American Freestyle

Red cornerU.S.

Danny Sabatello

“The Italian Gangster”

Record unlisted

Age
33
Height
178 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
Pin rate
34%
Tech-fall rate
23%
Points-decision rate
43%
Takedowns / match
2.3
Takedown defense
81%
Ride time
3:58 / fight
Opponent quality
58/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Jacob Schultz

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    Pin rate
    30%
    Tech-fall rate
    20%
    Points-decision rate
    50%
    Takedowns / match
    1.3
    Takedown defense
    68%
    Ride time
    4:25 / fight
    Opponent quality
    80/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Danny Sabatello

      Confidence

      72%

      Predicted method

      Decision on points

      Predicted period

      Full time (2 periods)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      Hand fightingJacob Schultz +16
      Mat wrestlingDanny Sabatello +15
      TakedownsDanny Sabatello +16
      Gas tankJacob Schultz +23
      ExperienceJacob Schultz +11
      Mat IQDanny Sabatello +11

      Why Raina made this pick

      Danny Sabatello is the more complete all-round wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.

      Jacob Schultz's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 72%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a match that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Danny Sabatello

      -314

      Market implied win %
      75.8%
      Raina's model win %
      72%
      Return on 100 staked
      +32

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Jacob Schultz

      +282

      Market implied win %
      26.2%
      Raina's model win %
      28%
      Return on 100 staked
      +282

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.8 pts

      Edge on Danny Sabatello

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      72%
      Market implied
      75.8%
      at -314
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.8 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Danny Sabatello higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      periods total

      Over/Under 1.5 periods

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Sabatello by fall+18934.6%
      • Sabatello on points+27726.5%
      • Schultz by technical superiority+34622.4%
      • Match goes the full two periods+19034.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Real American Freestyle · RAF 15: Tsarukyan vs. Pettis

      Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Danny Sabatello vs Jacob Schultz

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Danny Sabatello

      72%

      Method / round

      Decision on points

      Full time (2 periods)

      Line & edge

      -314

      75.8% implied · -3.8 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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