Matt Ramos vs Roman Bravo-Young
Main Card · Bantamweight · Real American Freestyle
Matt Ramos
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 39%
- Tech-fall rate
- 23%
- Points-decision rate
- 38%
- Takedowns / match
- 2
- Takedown defense
- 75%
- Ride time
- 0:58 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Roman Bravo-Young
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 29%
- Tech-fall rate
- 23%
- Points-decision rate
- 48%
- Takedowns / match
- 1.3
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Ride time
- 6:24 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 64/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Roman Bravo-Young
Confidence
57%
Predicted method
Decision on points
Predicted period
Full time (2 periods)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Roman Bravo-Young is the more complete all-round wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.
Matt Ramos's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 57%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a match that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Matt Ramos
+193
- Market implied win %
- 34.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 43%
- Return on 100 staked
- +193
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Roman Bravo-Young
-209
- Market implied win %
- 67.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 57%
- Return on 100 staked
- +48
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.6 pts
Edge on Roman Bravo-Young
- Raina's model
- 57%
- Market implied
- 67.6%
- at -209
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Roman Bravo-Young higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
periods total
Over/Under 1.5 periods
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Bravo-Young by fall+21232.1%
- Bravo-Young on points+24628.9%
- Ramos by technical superiority+50316.6%
- Match goes the full two periods-2721.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF 15: Tsarukyan vs. Pettis
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Matt Ramos vs Roman Bravo-Young
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Roman Bravo-Young
57%
Method / round
Decision on points
Full time (2 periods)
Line & edge
-209
67.6% implied · -10.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.