Anatoly Malykhin vs Pouya Rahmani
Co-Main · Heavyweight · Real American Freestyle
Anatoly Malykhin
“Сладкий (The sweet)”
15-1-0
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 198 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 67%
- Tech-fall rate
- 6%
- Points-decision rate
- 27%
- Takedowns / match
- 1.1
- Takedown defense
- 59%
- Ride time
- 7:51 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 78/100
Recent form
Pouya Rahmani
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- Pin rate
- 31%
- Tech-fall rate
- 24%
- Points-decision rate
- 45%
- Takedowns / match
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 81%
- Ride time
- 0:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 81/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Anatoly Malykhin
Confidence
60%
Predicted method
Technical superiority
Predicted period
Period 1
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Anatoly Malykhin is the more complete hand fighter here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.
Pouya Rahmani's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 60%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around period 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Anatoly Malykhin
-230
- Market implied win %
- 69.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 60%
- Return on 100 staked
- +43
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Pouya Rahmani
+211
- Market implied win %
- 32.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 40%
- Return on 100 staked
- +211
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-9.7 pts
Edge on Anatoly Malykhin
- Raina's model
- 60%
- Market implied
- 69.7%
- at -230
- Gap (model − market)
- -9.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Anatoly Malykhin higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
periods total
Over/Under 1.5 periods
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Malykhin by fall+25428.2%
- Malykhin on points+19533.9%
- Rahmani by technical superiority+32423.6%
- Match goes the full two periods+5763.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
Real American Freestyle · RAF Moscow: Chimaev vs. Woodley
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Anatoly Malykhin vs Pouya Rahmani
Co-Main · Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Anatoly Malykhin
60%
Method / round
Technical superiority
Period 1
Line & edge
-230
69.7% implied · -9.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.