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RAF Moscow: Chimaev vs. Woodley

Kyle Snyder vs Akhmed Tazhudinov

Main Card · Light Heavyweight · World Title · Real American Freestyle

Red cornerUnlisted

Kyle Snyder

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
Pin rate
37%
Tech-fall rate
26%
Points-decision rate
37%
Takedowns / match
1.5
Takedown defense
71%
Ride time
2:07 / fight
Opponent quality
61/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Akhmed Tazhudinov

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    Pin rate
    37%
    Tech-fall rate
    26%
    Points-decision rate
    37%
    Takedowns / match
    2.1
    Takedown defense
    70%
    Ride time
    0:12 / fight
    Opponent quality
    82/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Akhmed Tazhudinov

      Confidence

      61%

      Predicted method

      Decision on points

      Predicted period

      Full time (2 periods)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      Hand fightingKyle Snyder +21
      Mat wrestlingKyle Snyder +14
      TakedownsAkhmed Tazhudinov +17
      Gas tankAkhmed Tazhudinov +14
      ExperienceAkhmed Tazhudinov +18
      Mat IQKyle Snyder +18

      Why Raina made this pick

      Akhmed Tazhudinov is the more complete all-round wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 2 periods.

      Kyle Snyder's clearest path is chaining takedowns and building points from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 61%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a match that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Kyle Snyder

      +216

      Market implied win %
      31.6%
      Raina's model win %
      39%
      Return on 100 staked
      +216

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Akhmed Tazhudinov

      -237

      Market implied win %
      70.3%
      Raina's model win %
      61%
      Return on 100 staked
      +42

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -9.3 pts

      Edge on Akhmed Tazhudinov

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      61%
      Market implied
      70.3%
      at -237
      Gap (model − market)
      -9.3 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Akhmed Tazhudinov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      periods total

      Over/Under 1.5 periods

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Tazhudinov by fall+20133.2%
      • Tazhudinov on points+23729.7%
      • Snyder by technical superiority+26927.1%
      • Match goes the full two periods+16537.7%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Real American Freestyle · RAF Moscow: Chimaev vs. Woodley

      Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Kyle Snyder vs Akhmed Tazhudinov

      Main Card · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Akhmed Tazhudinov

      61%

      Method / round

      Decision on points

      Full time (2 periods)

      Line & edge

      -237

      70.3% implied · -9.3 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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