Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Henrique
Prelims · Catchweight (130 lb) · UFC
Official result
Charles Johnson def. Eduardo Henrique
Submission (twister) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Charles Johnson
“InnerG”
19-9-0
- Age
- 35
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 178 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 51%
- Sub rate
- 10%
- Decision rate
- 39%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.6
- Strike accuracy
- 55%
- Takedown avg
- 0.8
- Takedown defense
- 60%
- Control time
- 0:31 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 77/100
Recent form
Eduardo Henrique
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Catchweight (130 lb)
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 19%
- Decision rate
- 43%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 1.7
- Takedown defense
- 75%
- Control time
- 7:42 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 84/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Charles Johnson
Confidence
52%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Charles Johnson is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Eduardo Henrique's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 52%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Charles Johnson
-174
- Market implied win %
- 63.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 52%
- Return on 100 staked
- +57
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Eduardo Henrique
+163
- Market implied win %
- 38%
- Raina's model win %
- 48%
- Return on 100 staked
- +163
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.5 pts
Edge on Charles Johnson
- Raina's model
- 52%
- Market implied
- 63.5%
- at -174
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Charles Johnson higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Johnson by KO/TKO+30224.9%
- Johnson by decision+27926.4%
- Henrique by submission+44718.3%
- Fight goes the distance+496.2%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Henrique
Prelims · Catchweight (130 lb)
Raina's pick
Charles Johnson
52%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-174
63.5% implied · -11.5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.
