Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura
Prelims · Women's Flyweight · UFC
Casey O'Neill
“King”
11-2-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 168 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 51%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 2.3
- Takedown defense
- 74%
- Control time
- 0:50 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 66/100
Recent form
Eduarda Moura
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 46%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 1.2
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 4:41 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 81/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Eduarda Moura
Confidence
79%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Eduarda Moura is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Casey O'Neill's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 79%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Casey O'Neill
+324
- Market implied win %
- 23.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 21%
- Return on 100 staked
- +324
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Eduarda Moura
-363
- Market implied win %
- 78.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 79%
- Return on 100 staked
- +28
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
+0.6 pts
Edge on Eduarda Moura
- Raina's model
- 79%
- Market implied
- 78.4%
- at -363
- Gap (model − market)
- +0.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Eduarda Moura higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Moura by KO/TKO+19434%
- Moura by decision+26527.4%
- O'Neill by submission+60614.2%
- Fight goes the distance-8947.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura
Prelims · Women's Flyweight
Raina's pick
Eduarda Moura
79%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-363
78.4% implied · +0.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.