Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf
Prelims · Heavyweight · UFC
Gable Steveson
4-0-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 49%
- Sub rate
- 11%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Strike accuracy
- 50%
- Takedown avg
- 0.8
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 4:50 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 65/100
Recent form
Sean Sharaf
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 34%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 36%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 1.8
- Takedown defense
- 70%
- Control time
- 6:58 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 56/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sean Sharaf
Confidence
53%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sean Sharaf is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Gable Steveson's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 53%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Gable Steveson
+169
- Market implied win %
- 37.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 47%
- Return on 100 staked
- +169
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Sean Sharaf
-181
- Market implied win %
- 64.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 53%
- Return on 100 staked
- +55
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.4 pts
Edge on Sean Sharaf
- Raina's model
- 53%
- Market implied
- 64.4%
- at -181
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sean Sharaf higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Sharaf by KO/TKO+24429.1%
- Sharaf by decision+17037%
- Steveson by submission+55615.2%
- Fight goes the distance-14859.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf
Prelims · Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Sean Sharaf
53%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-181
64.4% implied · -11.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.