Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Giga Chikadze
15-6-0
- Age
- 37
- Height
- 183 cm
- Reach
- 188 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 57%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.1
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 0.5
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 7:20 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 79/100
Recent form
Joanderson Brito
“Tubarão”
19-5-1
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 22%
- Sub rate
- 43%
- Decision rate
- 35%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.1
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 4.1
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 7:48 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 71/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Joanderson Brito
Confidence
73%
Predicted method
Submission
Predicted round
Round 3
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Joanderson Brito is the more complete grappler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Giga Chikadze's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 73%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Giga Chikadze
+288
- Market implied win %
- 25.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 27%
- Return on 100 staked
- +288
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Joanderson Brito
-321
- Market implied win %
- 76.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 73%
- Return on 100 staked
- +31
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-3.2 pts
Edge on Joanderson Brito
- Raina's model
- 73%
- Market implied
- 76.2%
- at -321
- Gap (model − market)
- -3.2 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Joanderson Brito higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Brito by KO/TKO+20732.6%
- Brito by decision+24728.8%
- Chikadze by submission+54915.4%
- Fight goes the distance+16238.2%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Joanderson Brito
73%
Method / round
Submission
Round 3
Line & edge
-321
76.2% implied · -3.2 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.