Michael Aswell Jr. vs Yoo Joo-sang
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Michael Aswell Jr.
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 34%
- Sub rate
- 23%
- Decision rate
- 43%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 50%
- Takedown avg
- 1.5
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 4:08 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 70/100
Recent form
Yoo Joo-sang
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 34%
- Sub rate
- 23%
- Decision rate
- 43%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 1.7
- Takedown defense
- 73%
- Control time
- 5:35 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Michael Aswell Jr.
Confidence
72%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Michael Aswell Jr. is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Yoo Joo-sang's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 72%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Michael Aswell Jr.
-314
- Market implied win %
- 75.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 72%
- Return on 100 staked
- +32
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Yoo Joo-sang
+282
- Market implied win %
- 26.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 28%
- Return on 100 staked
- +282
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-3.8 pts
Edge on Michael Aswell Jr.
- Raina's model
- 72%
- Market implied
- 75.8%
- at -314
- Gap (model − market)
- -3.8 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Michael Aswell Jr. higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Jr. by KO/TKO+29425.4%
- Jr. by decision+14241.3%
- Joo-sang by submission+50516.5%
- Fight goes the distance-6840.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Michael Aswell Jr. vs Yoo Joo-sang
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Michael Aswell Jr.
72%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-314
75.8% implied · -3.8 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.