Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne
Prelims · Heavyweight · UFC
Tai Tuivasa
“Bam Bam”
14-10-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 188 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 51%
- Sub rate
- 7%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.1
- Strike accuracy
- 53%
- Takedown avg
- 0.2
- Takedown defense
- 73%
- Control time
- 3:59 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 79/100
Recent form
Robelis Despaigne
“The Bad Boy”
6-2-0
- Age
- 37
- Height
- 201 cm
- Reach
- 213 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 48%
- Sub rate
- 7%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.4
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 0.8
- Takedown defense
- 74%
- Control time
- 2:37 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 62/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Tai Tuivasa
Confidence
58%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 1
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Tai Tuivasa is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Robelis Despaigne's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 58%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Tai Tuivasa
-216
- Market implied win %
- 68.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 58%
- Return on 100 staked
- +46
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Robelis Despaigne
+199
- Market implied win %
- 33.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 42%
- Return on 100 staked
- +199
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.4 pts
Edge on Tai Tuivasa
- Raina's model
- 58%
- Market implied
- 68.4%
- at -216
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Tai Tuivasa higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Tuivasa by KO/TKO+19533.9%
- Tuivasa by decision+11147.4%
- Despaigne by submission+31224.3%
- Fight goes the distance-2016.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne
Prelims · Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Tai Tuivasa
58%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 1
Line & edge
-216
68.4% implied · -10.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.