Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
Main Card · Middleweight · UFC
Caio Borralho
“The Natural”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 188 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 35%
- Sub rate
- 19%
- Decision rate
- 46%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.1
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 80%
- Control time
- 7:27 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Yousri Belgaroui
“The Boogeyman”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 196 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 48%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 3:49 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Caio Borralho
Confidence
74%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Caio Borralho is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Yousri Belgaroui's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 74%.
Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Caio Borralho
-328
- Market implied win %
- 76.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 74%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Yousri Belgaroui
+294
- Market implied win %
- 25.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 26%
- Return on 100 staked
- +294
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2.6 pts
Edge on Caio Borralho
- Raina's model
- 74%
- Market implied
- 76.6%
- at -328
- Gap (model − market)
- -2.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Caio Borralho higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Borralho by KO/TKO+23729.7%
- Borralho by decision+26327.5%
- Belgaroui by submission+40719.7%
- Fight goes the distance-8245.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
Main Card · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Caio Borralho
74%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-328
76.6% implied · -2.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.