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Andre Petroski vs Mantas Kondratavičius

Prelims · Middleweight · UFC

Official result

Andre Petroski def. Mantas Kondratavičius

TKO (punches) · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnited States

Andre Petroski

Record unlisted

Age
35
Height
183 cm
Reach
185 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
38%
Sub rate
18%
Decision rate
44%
Sig. strikes/min
3.9
Strike accuracy
52%
Takedown avg
2.1
Takedown defense
75%
Control time
5:48 / fight
Opponent quality
83/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Mantas Kondratavičius

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    40%
    Sub rate
    27%
    Decision rate
    33%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.2
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Takedown avg
    2.4
    Takedown defense
    70%
    Control time
    7:12 / fight
    Opponent quality
    70/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Andre Petroski

      Confidence

      78%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingMantas Kondratavičius +16
      GrapplingAndre Petroski +17
      WrestlingMantas Kondratavičius +16
      CardioMantas Kondratavičius +11
      ExperienceAndre Petroski +19
      Fight IQMantas Kondratavičius +17

      Why Raina made this pick

      Andre Petroski is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Mantas Kondratavičius's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 78%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Andre Petroski

      -356

      Market implied win %
      78.1%
      Raina's model win %
      78%
      Return on 100 staked
      +28

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Mantas Kondratavičius

      +318

      Market implied win %
      23.9%
      Raina's model win %
      22%
      Return on 100 staked
      +318

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -0.1 pts

      Edge on Andre Petroski

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      78%
      Market implied
      78.1%
      at -356
      Gap (model − market)
      -0.1 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Andre Petroski higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Petroski by KO/TKO+16338%
      • Petroski by decision+20832.5%
      • Kondratavičius by submission+46017.9%
      • Fight goes the distance-8746.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker

      Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Andre Petroski vs Mantas Kondratavičius

      Prelims · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Andre Petroski

      78%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -356

      78.1% implied · -0.1 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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