Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes
Prelims · Women's Flyweight · UFC
Karine Silva
“Killer”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 163 cm
- Reach
- 170 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 29%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 49%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 1.8
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 5:51 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 65/100
Recent form
Gabriella Fernandes
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 33%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 2.4
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 5:44 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Karine Silva
Confidence
68%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Karine Silva is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Gabriella Fernandes's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 68%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Karine Silva
-286
- Market implied win %
- 74.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 68%
- Return on 100 staked
- +35
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Gabriella Fernandes
+258
- Market implied win %
- 27.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 32%
- Return on 100 staked
- +258
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.1 pts
Edge on Karine Silva
- Raina's model
- 68%
- Market implied
- 74.1%
- at -286
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Karine Silva higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Silva by KO/TKO+17037%
- Silva by decision+19334.1%
- Fernandes by submission+52316.1%
- Fight goes the distance+8454.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes
Prelims · Women's Flyweight
Raina's pick
Karine Silva
68%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-286
74.1% implied · -6.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.