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← UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker

Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba

Co-Main · Women's Strawweight · UFC

Red cornerU.S.

Tatiana Suarez

Record unlisted

Age
35
Height
165 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Southpaw
Weight class
Women's Strawweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
34%
Sub rate
18%
Decision rate
48%
Sig. strikes/min
4.1
Strike accuracy
52%
Takedown avg
2.1
Takedown defense
68%
Control time
0:16 / fight
Opponent quality
84/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerBrazil

    Virna Jandiroba

    “Carcará”

    Record unlisted

    Age
    38
    Height
    160 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Women's Strawweight
    Streak
    Rebounding from a loss
    KO rate
    37%
    Sub rate
    30%
    Decision rate
    33%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.4
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Takedown avg
    1.4
    Takedown defense
    71%
    Control time
    2:37 / fight
    Opponent quality
    70/100

    Recent form

    WLWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Tatiana Suarez

      Confidence

      70%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (5 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingVirna Jandiroba +10
      GrapplingVirna Jandiroba +17
      WrestlingVirna Jandiroba +22
      CardioTatiana Suarez +11
      ExperienceVirna Jandiroba +13
      Fight IQVirna Jandiroba +17

      Why Raina made this pick

      Tatiana Suarez is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.

      Virna Jandiroba's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 70%.

      Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Tatiana Suarez

      -300

      Market implied win %
      75%
      Raina's model win %
      70%
      Return on 100 staked
      +33

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Virna Jandiroba

      +270

      Market implied win %
      27%
      Raina's model win %
      30%
      Return on 100 staked
      +270

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -5 pts

      Edge on Tatiana Suarez

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      70%
      Market implied
      75%
      at -300
      Gap (model − market)
      -5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Tatiana Suarez higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Suarez by KO/TKO+31424.2%
      • Suarez by decision+28026.3%
      • Jandiroba by submission+37621%
      • Fight goes the distance+4270.4%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker

      Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba

      Co-Main · Women's Strawweight

      Raina's pick

      Tatiana Suarez

      70%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (5 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -300

      75% implied · -5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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