Jonny Parsons vs José Henrique Souza
Prelims · Welterweight · UFC
Jonny Parsons
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 31%
- Sub rate
- 30%
- Decision rate
- 39%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.5
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 6:47 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 68/100
Recent form
José Henrique Souza
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 51%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.7
- Strike accuracy
- 48%
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 3:14 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 86/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
José Henrique Souza
Confidence
67%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
José Henrique Souza is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Jonny Parsons's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 67%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jonny Parsons
+252
- Market implied win %
- 28.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 33%
- Return on 100 staked
- +252
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
José Henrique Souza
-279
- Market implied win %
- 73.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 67%
- Return on 100 staked
- +36
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.6 pts
Edge on José Henrique Souza
- Raina's model
- 67%
- Market implied
- 73.6%
- at -279
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates José Henrique Souza higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Souza by KO/TKO+22530.8%
- Souza by decision+23429.9%
- Parsons by submission+48517.1%
- Fight goes the distance+8653.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jonny Parsons vs José Henrique Souza
Prelims · Welterweight
Raina's pick
José Henrique Souza
67%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-279
73.6% implied · -6.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.