Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith
Main Card · Bantamweight · UFC
Davey Grant
“Dangerous”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 40
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 175 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 36%
- Sub rate
- 19%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 2.5
- Takedown defense
- 75%
- Control time
- 5:55 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 77/100
Recent form
Elijah Smith
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 51%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 2.1
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 0:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 72/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Davey Grant
Confidence
60%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Davey Grant is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Elijah Smith's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 60%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Davey Grant
-230
- Market implied win %
- 69.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 60%
- Return on 100 staked
- +43
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Elijah Smith
+211
- Market implied win %
- 32.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 40%
- Return on 100 staked
- +211
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-9.7 pts
Edge on Davey Grant
- Raina's model
- 60%
- Market implied
- 69.7%
- at -230
- Gap (model − market)
- -9.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Davey Grant higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Grant by KO/TKO+16038.5%
- Grant by decision+11047.6%
- Smith by submission+26627.3%
- Fight goes the distance+8454.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith
Main Card · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Davey Grant
60%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-230
69.7% implied · -9.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.