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← UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker

José Mauro Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov

Prelims · Featherweight · UFC

Red cornerUnlisted

José Mauro Delano

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Featherweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
26%
Sub rate
21%
Decision rate
53%
Sig. strikes/min
4.3
Strike accuracy
47%
Takedown avg
1.3
Takedown defense
72%
Control time
7:48 / fight
Opponent quality
54/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Murtazali Magomedov

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Featherweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    36%
    Sub rate
    27%
    Decision rate
    37%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.3
    Strike accuracy
    51%
    Takedown avg
    2.7
    Takedown defense
    68%
    Control time
    0:46 / fight
    Opponent quality
    59/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      José Mauro Delano

      Confidence

      58%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingJosé Mauro Delano +10
      GrapplingJosé Mauro Delano +17
      WrestlingMurtazali Magomedov +16
      CardioMurtazali Magomedov +11
      ExperienceJosé Mauro Delano +13
      Fight IQJosé Mauro Delano +23

      Why Raina made this pick

      José Mauro Delano is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Murtazali Magomedov's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 58%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      José Mauro Delano

      -216

      Market implied win %
      68.4%
      Raina's model win %
      58%
      Return on 100 staked
      +46

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Murtazali Magomedov

      +199

      Market implied win %
      33.4%
      Raina's model win %
      42%
      Return on 100 staked
      +199

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10.4 pts

      Edge on José Mauro Delano

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      58%
      Market implied
      68.4%
      at -216
      Gap (model − market)
      -10.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates José Mauro Delano higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Delano by KO/TKO+22630.7%
      • Delano by decision+18934.6%
      • Magomedov by submission+30924.4%
      • Fight goes the distance+15738.9%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker

      Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      José Mauro Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov

      Prelims · Featherweight

      Raina's pick

      José Mauro Delano

      58%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -216

      68.4% implied · -10.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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