Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle
Main Card · Featherweight · UFC
Darren Elkins
“The Damage”
29-13-0
- Age
- 42
- Height
- 178 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 37%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 6:25 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Yadier del Valle
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 2.4
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 6:19 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Yadier del Valle
Confidence
53%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Yadier del Valle is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Darren Elkins's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 53%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Darren Elkins
+169
- Market implied win %
- 37.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 47%
- Return on 100 staked
- +169
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Yadier del Valle
-181
- Market implied win %
- 64.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 53%
- Return on 100 staked
- +55
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.4 pts
Edge on Yadier del Valle
- Raina's model
- 53%
- Market implied
- 64.4%
- at -181
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Yadier del Valle higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Valle by KO/TKO+28326.1%
- Valle by decision+14141.5%
- Elkins by submission+50616.5%
- Fight goes the distance+20033.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Yadier del Valle
53%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-181
64.4% implied · -11.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.