Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff
Main Card · Welterweight · UFC
Official result
Ty Miller def. Billy Ray Goff
TKO (punches) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Ty Miller
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 32%
- Sub rate
- 27%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 0:49 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 62/100
Recent form
Billy Ray Goff
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 30%
- Sub rate
- 18%
- Decision rate
- 52%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 2
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 3:56 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Ty Miller
Confidence
56%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Ty Miller is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Billy Ray Goff's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Ty Miller
-202
- Market implied win %
- 66.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 56%
- Return on 100 staked
- +50
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Billy Ray Goff
+187
- Market implied win %
- 34.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 44%
- Return on 100 staked
- +187
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.9 pts
Edge on Ty Miller
- Raina's model
- 56%
- Market implied
- 66.9%
- at -202
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Ty Miller higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Miller by KO/TKO+29925.1%
- Miller by decision+23729.7%
- Goff by submission+44718.3%
- Fight goes the distance+17436.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff
Main Card · Welterweight
Raina's pick
Ty Miller
56%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-202
66.9% implied · -10.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.