Yadier del Valle vs Darren Elkins
Main Card · Featherweight · UFC
Official result
Yadier del Valle def. Darren Elkins
TKO (punch) · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event
Yadier del Valle
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 38%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 2.4
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 6:19 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Darren Elkins
“The Damage”
29-13-0
- Age
- 42
- Height
- 178 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 37%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 6:25 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Darren Elkins
Confidence
77%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Darren Elkins is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Yadier del Valle's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 77%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Yadier del Valle
+312
- Market implied win %
- 24.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 23%
- Return on 100 staked
- +312
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Darren Elkins
-349
- Market implied win %
- 77.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 77%
- Return on 100 staked
- +29
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-0.7 pts
Edge on Darren Elkins
- Raina's model
- 77%
- Market implied
- 77.7%
- at -349
- Gap (model − market)
- -0.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Darren Elkins higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Elkins by KO/TKO+31024.4%
- Elkins by decision+24828.7%
- Valle by submission+42419.1%
- Fight goes the distance-10751.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Yadier del Valle vs Darren Elkins
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Darren Elkins
77%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-349
77.7% implied · -0.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.