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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

Terrance Chatman vs Anthony Wint

Main Card · Heavyweight · UFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Terrance Chatman

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Heavyweight
Streak
Rebounding from a loss
KO rate
33%
Sub rate
21%
Decision rate
46%
Sig. strikes/min
4.3
Strike accuracy
50%
Takedown avg
2.2
Takedown defense
65%
Control time
2:54 / fight
Opponent quality
54/100

Recent form

WLWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Anthony Wint

    7-0-0

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Heavyweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    53%
    Sub rate
    6%
    Decision rate
    41%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.9
    Strike accuracy
    55%
    Takedown avg
    0.7
    Takedown defense
    66%
    Control time
    3:32 / fight
    Opponent quality
    68/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Anthony Wint

      Confidence

      69%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingTerrance Chatman +9
      GrapplingAnthony Wint +20
      WrestlingTerrance Chatman +11
      CardioTerrance Chatman +14
      ExperienceAnthony Wint +12
      Fight IQTerrance Chatman +12

      Why Raina made this pick

      Anthony Wint is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Terrance Chatman's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 69%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Terrance Chatman

      +264

      Market implied win %
      27.5%
      Raina's model win %
      31%
      Return on 100 staked
      +264

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Anthony Wint

      -293

      Market implied win %
      74.6%
      Raina's model win %
      69%
      Return on 100 staked
      +34

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -5.6 pts

      Edge on Anthony Wint

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      69%
      Market implied
      74.6%
      at -293
      Gap (model − market)
      -5.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Anthony Wint higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Wint by KO/TKO+20832.5%
      • Wint by decision+27226.9%
      • Chatman by submission+33722.9%
      • Fight goes the distance-7442.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

      Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Terrance Chatman vs Anthony Wint

      Main Card · Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Anthony Wint

      69%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -293

      74.6% implied · -5.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

      Hand verified

      Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.