Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse
Main Event · Lightweight · UFC
Official result
Salahdine Parnasse def. Dan Hooker
TKO (punches) · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event
Dan Hooker
24-14-0
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 183 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 59%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 27%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.9
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 0.9
- Takedown defense
- 75%
- Control time
- 7:13 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 65/100
Recent form
Salahdine Parnasse
“Salahdine Parnasse”
23-2-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 178 cm
- Reach
- 186 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 31%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 48%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.6
- Strike accuracy
- 48%
- Takedown avg
- 2.5
- Takedown defense
- 79%
- Control time
- 0:53 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 70/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Salahdine Parnasse
Confidence
69%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Salahdine Parnasse is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Dan Hooker's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 69%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Southpaw) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Dan Hooker
+264
- Market implied win %
- 27.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 31%
- Return on 100 staked
- +264
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Salahdine Parnasse
-293
- Market implied win %
- 74.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 69%
- Return on 100 staked
- +34
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5.6 pts
Edge on Salahdine Parnasse
- Raina's model
- 69%
- Market implied
- 74.6%
- at -293
- Gap (model − market)
- -5.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Salahdine Parnasse higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Parnasse by KO/TKO+30624.6%
- Parnasse by decision+24129.3%
- Hooker by submission+50116.6%
- Fight goes the distance+3176.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse
Main Event · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Salahdine Parnasse
69%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-293
74.6% implied · -5.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.