Farès Ziam vs Axel Sola
Co-Main · Lightweight · UFC
Official result
Axel Sola def. Farès Ziam
KO (overhand left) · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event
Farès Ziam
“Smile Killer”
18-5-0
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 183 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 47%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 6:06 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 65/100
Recent form
Axel Sola
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 32%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 43%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 2
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 1:51 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 79/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Axel Sola
Confidence
71%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (5 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Axel Sola is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Farès Ziam's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 71%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Farès Ziam
+276
- Market implied win %
- 26.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 29%
- Return on 100 staked
- +276
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Axel Sola
-307
- Market implied win %
- 75.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 71%
- Return on 100 staked
- +33
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-4.4 pts
Edge on Axel Sola
- Raina's model
- 71%
- Market implied
- 75.4%
- at -307
- Gap (model − market)
- -4.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Axel Sola higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Sola by KO/TKO+25028.6%
- Sola by decision+15938.6%
- Ziam by submission+41919.3%
- Fight goes the distance+2580%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Farès Ziam vs Axel Sola
Co-Main · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Axel Sola
71%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (5 rounds)
Line & edge
-307
75.4% implied · -4.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.