Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov
Main Card · Featherweight · UFC
Official result
Losene Keita def. Muhammad Naimov
KO (punches) · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event
Losene Keita
“Black Panther”
16-2-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 54%
- Sub rate
- 9%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Strike accuracy
- 54%
- Takedown avg
- 0.3
- Takedown defense
- 58%
- Control time
- 4:45 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 61/100
Recent form
Muhammad Naimov
“Hillman”
13-4-0
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 53%
- Sub rate
- 11%
- Decision rate
- 36%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.2
- Strike accuracy
- 53%
- Takedown avg
- 1.2
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 0:31 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 64/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Losene Keita
Confidence
70%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 2
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Losene Keita is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Muhammad Naimov's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 70%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Losene Keita
-300
- Market implied win %
- 75%
- Raina's model win %
- 70%
- Return on 100 staked
- +33
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Muhammad Naimov
+270
- Market implied win %
- 27%
- Raina's model win %
- 30%
- Return on 100 staked
- +270
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5 pts
Edge on Losene Keita
- Raina's model
- 70%
- Market implied
- 75%
- at -300
- Gap (model − market)
- -5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Losene Keita higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Keita by KO/TKO+15139.8%
- Keita by decision+12843.9%
- Naimov by submission+29025.6%
- Fight goes the distance-1311.5%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Losene Keita
70%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 2
Line & edge
-300
75% implied · -5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.