Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Main Card · Middleweight · UFC
Official result
Michael Page def. Nursulton Ruziboev
Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Michael Page
25-3-0
- Age
- 39
- Height
- 191 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 51%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 35%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Strike accuracy
- 50%
- Takedown avg
- 0.9
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 2:15 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Nursulton Ruziboev
“Black”
37-9-2
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 196 cm
- Reach
- 193 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 48%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.8
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 2.9
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 6:48 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 56/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Michael Page
Confidence
58%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 3
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Michael Page is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Nursulton Ruziboev's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 58%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Michael Page
-216
- Market implied win %
- 68.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 58%
- Return on 100 staked
- +46
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Nursulton Ruziboev
+199
- Market implied win %
- 33.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 42%
- Return on 100 staked
- +199
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.4 pts
Edge on Michael Page
- Raina's model
- 58%
- Market implied
- 68.4%
- at -216
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Michael Page higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Page by KO/TKO+19234.2%
- Page by decision+26827.2%
- Ruziboev by submission+27127%
- Fight goes the distance-1916%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Main Card · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Michael Page
58%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 3
Line & edge
-216
68.4% implied · -10.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.