Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Official result
Pavel Andrusca def. Nathaniel Wood
Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Nathaniel Wood
“The Prospect”
23-6-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 168 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 32%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 46%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Strike accuracy
- 50%
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 70%
- Control time
- 7:58 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 85/100
Recent form
Pavel Andrusca
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 30%
- Sub rate
- 28%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.4
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 1.3
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 1:26 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Pavel Andrusca
Confidence
59%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Pavel Andrusca is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Nathaniel Wood's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Nathaniel Wood
+205
- Market implied win %
- 32.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 41%
- Return on 100 staked
- +205
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Pavel Andrusca
-223
- Market implied win %
- 69%
- Raina's model win %
- 59%
- Return on 100 staked
- +45
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10 pts
Edge on Pavel Andrusca
- Raina's model
- 59%
- Market implied
- 69%
- at -223
- Gap (model − market)
- -10 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Pavel Andrusca higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Andrusca by KO/TKO+31823.9%
- Andrusca by decision+19134.4%
- Wood by submission+30724.6%
- Fight goes the distance-5937.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Pavel Andrusca
59%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-223
69% implied · -10 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.