Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas
Prelims · Light Heavyweight · UFC
Official result
Modestas Bukauskas def. Oumar Sy
TKO (punches) · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event
Oumar Sy
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 52%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 1.5
- Takedown defense
- 82%
- Control time
- 6:33 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Modestas Bukauskas
“The Baltic Gladiator”
20-7-0
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 191 cm
- Reach
- 198 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 56%
- Sub rate
- 9%
- Decision rate
- 35%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.2
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 0.2
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 6:20 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 58/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Oumar Sy
Confidence
78%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Oumar Sy is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Modestas Bukauskas's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 78%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Oumar Sy
-356
- Market implied win %
- 78.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 78%
- Return on 100 staked
- +28
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Modestas Bukauskas
+318
- Market implied win %
- 23.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 22%
- Return on 100 staked
- +318
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-0.1 pts
Edge on Oumar Sy
- Raina's model
- 78%
- Market implied
- 78.1%
- at -356
- Gap (model − market)
- -0.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Oumar Sy higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Sy by KO/TKO+24828.7%
- Sy by decision+12843.9%
- Bukauskas by submission+38320.7%
- Fight goes the distance-2117.4%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas
Prelims · Light Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Oumar Sy
78%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-356
78.1% implied · -0.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.