Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa
Prelims · Women's Flyweight · UFC
Official result
Lucia Szabová def. Tainara Lisboa
TKO (punches) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Lucia Szabová
“Silent Killer”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 37%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Takedown avg
- 1.6
- Takedown defense
- 67%
- Control time
- 6:20 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 63/100
Recent form
Tainara Lisboa
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Flyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 26%
- Sub rate
- 28%
- Decision rate
- 46%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.1
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 1.6
- Takedown defense
- 82%
- Control time
- 6:53 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Tainara Lisboa
Confidence
65%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Tainara Lisboa is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Lucia Szabová's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 65%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Lucia Szabová
+240
- Market implied win %
- 29.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 35%
- Return on 100 staked
- +240
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Tainara Lisboa
-265
- Market implied win %
- 72.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 65%
- Return on 100 staked
- +38
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-7.6 pts
Edge on Tainara Lisboa
- Raina's model
- 65%
- Market implied
- 72.6%
- at -265
- Gap (model − market)
- -7.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Tainara Lisboa higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Lisboa by KO/TKO+18934.6%
- Lisboa by decision+28026.3%
- Szabová by submission+59114.5%
- Fight goes the distance-15660.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa
Prelims · Women's Flyweight
Raina's pick
Tainara Lisboa
65%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-265
72.6% implied · -7.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.