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Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren

Prelims · Welterweight · UFC

Official result

Rodrigo Sezinando def. Theodor Berggren

TKO (doctor stoppage) · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Rodrigo Sezinando

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Welterweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
35%
Sub rate
24%
Decision rate
41%
Sig. strikes/min
4.4
Strike accuracy
48%
Takedown avg
2.9
Takedown defense
65%
Control time
3:46 / fight
Opponent quality
60/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Theodor Berggren

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Welterweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    31%
    Sub rate
    21%
    Decision rate
    48%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.8
    Strike accuracy
    46%
    Takedown avg
    1.5
    Takedown defense
    67%
    Control time
    5:39 / fight
    Opponent quality
    59/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Theodor Berggren

      Confidence

      73%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingRodrigo Sezinando +15
      GrapplingTheodor Berggren +14
      WrestlingTheodor Berggren +11
      CardioTheodor Berggren +14
      ExperienceTheodor Berggren +12
      Fight IQTheodor Berggren +18

      Why Raina made this pick

      Theodor Berggren is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Rodrigo Sezinando's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 73%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Rodrigo Sezinando

      +288

      Market implied win %
      25.8%
      Raina's model win %
      27%
      Return on 100 staked
      +288

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Theodor Berggren

      -321

      Market implied win %
      76.2%
      Raina's model win %
      73%
      Return on 100 staked
      +31

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.2 pts

      Edge on Theodor Berggren

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      73%
      Market implied
      76.2%
      at -321
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.2 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Theodor Berggren higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Berggren by KO/TKO+13442.7%
      • Berggren by decision+23030.3%
      • Sezinando by submission+47217.5%
      • Fight goes the distance+3375.2%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

      Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren

      Prelims · Welterweight

      Raina's pick

      Theodor Berggren

      73%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -321

      76.2% implied · -3.2 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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