Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov
Main Card · Middleweight · UFC
Jared Cannonier
“Tha Killa Gorilla”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 42
- Height
- 183 cm
- Reach
- 5 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 30%
- Sub rate
- 26%
- Decision rate
- 44%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 77%
- Control time
- 1:22 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 87/100
Recent form
Ikram Aliskerov
Record unlisted
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 183 cm
- Reach
- 193 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 40%
- Sub rate
- 29%
- Decision rate
- 31%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.7
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 2.1
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 6:10 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 71/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Ikram Aliskerov
Confidence
55%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Ikram Aliskerov is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Jared Cannonier's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 55%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Southpaw) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jared Cannonier
+181
- Market implied win %
- 35.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 45%
- Return on 100 staked
- +181
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Ikram Aliskerov
-195
- Market implied win %
- 66.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 55%
- Return on 100 staked
- +51
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.1 pts
Edge on Ikram Aliskerov
- Raina's model
- 55%
- Market implied
- 66.1%
- at -195
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Ikram Aliskerov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Aliskerov by KO/TKO+23030.3%
- Aliskerov by decision+25328.3%
- Cannonier by submission+30025%
- Fight goes the distance-3525.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov
Main Card · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Ikram Aliskerov
55%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-195
66.1% implied · -11.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.