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← UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling

Jiří Procházka vs Navajo Stirling

Main Event · Light Heavyweight · UFC

Red cornerCzechoslovakia

Jiří Procházka

“BJP<br>Denisa<ref>{{cite web | title=Český samuraj v MMA Procházka: Soupeře nechci zmrzačit”

Record unlisted

Age
34
Height
193 cm
Reach
203 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
37%
Sub rate
18%
Decision rate
45%
Sig. strikes/min
3.8
Strike accuracy
45%
Takedown avg
2.2
Takedown defense
74%
Control time
7:34 / fight
Opponent quality
85/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerNew Zealand

    Navajo Stirling

    Record unlisted

    Age
    29
    Height
    193 cm
    Reach
    201 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    35%
    Sub rate
    24%
    Decision rate
    41%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.2
    Strike accuracy
    47%
    Takedown avg
    2.2
    Takedown defense
    74%
    Control time
    1:49 / fight
    Opponent quality
    66/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Jiří Procházka

      Confidence

      76%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (5 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingJiří Procházka +16
      GrapplingJiří Procházka +15
      WrestlingNavajo Stirling +16
      CardioNavajo Stirling +17
      ExperienceJiří Procházka +17
      Fight IQJiří Procházka +11

      Why Raina made this pick

      Jiří Procházka is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.

      Navajo Stirling's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 76%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Jiří Procházka

      -342

      Market implied win %
      77.4%
      Raina's model win %
      76%
      Return on 100 staked
      +29

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Navajo Stirling

      +306

      Market implied win %
      24.6%
      Raina's model win %
      24%
      Return on 100 staked
      +306

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -1.4 pts

      Edge on Jiří Procházka

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      76%
      Market implied
      77.4%
      at -342
      Gap (model − market)
      -1.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Jiří Procházka higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Procházka by KO/TKO+20732.6%
      • Procházka by decision+25528.2%
      • Stirling by submission+26127.7%
      • Fight goes the distance-14759.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling

      Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Jiří Procházka vs Navajo Stirling

      Main Event · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Jiří Procházka

      76%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (5 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -342

      77.4% implied · -1.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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